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20121201
20121231
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ask you about some other stuff. japan rising. europe stocks doing very well. china stocks having a bit of a comeback year. in other words, as a global guide, there are options to playing this fiscal cliff game here in new york. >> absolutely. you don't have to just trade the s&p 500. i mean, look at tonight, you're seeing australia up a third of a point. the japanese yen is doing very well. look at hong kong. if you want to take what the federal reserve did and apply it internationally, look at hong kong. their monetary policy is pegged to what the federal reserve does. but they have an inflation issue and their economy is tied to china. so if you buy something like ewh, the hong kong etf, all those stocks are priced in hong kong dollars. if the hong kong dollar is repegged, the ewh will go up as much as the repegging. >> what does that mean for the u.s. market? where are you on the u.s. market right now? >> you know, i think right now, probably to the end of year, if we can get some kind of movement on this fiscal cliff, you have a real potential for a pop, 3%, 4%, 5%. unfortunately,
, china, europe, whatever, the s&p 500 up 12.1% year to date. that is a good year. that is an optimistic year. why is that? >> it seems like we're forgetting about that, doesn't it? with all this talk about what's happening going forward and concern about corporate growth. and truly, we're concerned about corporate growth as well because there really hasn't been that long-term information from our government, from our policyholde policyholders, no economic policy in real investment in assets that we've seen. that's going to be a problem going forward, not to mention the global slowdown, and we're hitting the top of corporate profits now. >> so you don't agree with this. you're turning bearish. >> not bearish in a sense of going forward intermittently. we think that most likely, we're going to see some growth hitting in the second quarter of next year. until we get through this fiscal cliff nonsense, until we see some growth coming out of china and europe, i think that -- >> china i think is showing growth. europe may not show growth in my lifetime, but they're going to be bailed out. do
-- they're pumping in liquidity. so is china. now, in the long run, we may come to regret this very much. in the short run, i have a feeling all this liquidity is a bigger issue than the fiscal cliff for stocks. >> for stocks. i totally agree with you. we're printing money all around the world. it's good for the stock market. but we're pumping liquidity in, lower growth forecast from the ex, just about any acronym entity that you think of, we've seen lower growth forecast at the same time the credit spreads have come back down. yes, i think things are calmer. these are good things for equities. the yields on corporate bonds, you have to go out seven, eight years to get money on junk paper. corporations have more cash on their balance sheet. they're buying back shares. >> ting the financial picture -- there's nobody that's cutting marginal tax rates. nobody's deregulating and there's nobody that's limiting government. i get that. there's no supply side policies going on. but when you look hat the financial fear spreads or the financial risk spreads -- and here's one, banks. i saw dick bov
Search Results 0 to 2 of about 3